Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.376631 4.718356 5.086090 5.513341 5.998779 6.536411 7.181408
2025-05-25 3.734643 4.189250 4.710462 5.360104 6.159588 7.127245 8.412930
2025-06-01 3.352469 3.857931 4.462080 5.252177 6.281719 7.614080 9.535431
2025-06-08 3.127169 3.672561 4.346698 5.264254 6.520164 8.246019 10.935228
2025-06-15 2.979708 3.561418 4.301887 5.346525 6.842978 9.021549 12.692911
2025-06-22 2.756374 3.331374 4.077191 5.154284 6.744918 9.154650 13.451585
2025-06-29 2.587573 3.158860 3.912596 5.024817 6.714875 9.375108 14.393541
2025-07-06 2.448148 3.015254 3.774905 4.917836 6.700654 9.609653 15.406785
2025-07-13 2.354358 2.926769 3.705877 4.902642 6.823325 10.085242 17.011123
2025-07-20 2.300048 2.888340 3.703236 4.984229 7.107626 10.886258 19.554821
2025-07-27 2.263058 2.871032 3.728327 5.108456 7.475377 11.906455 23.013151
2025-08-03 2.199627 2.812188 3.687754 5.123463 7.652558 12.585795 25.922091
2025-08-10 2.121305 2.731945 3.616104 5.091814 7.760448 13.185165 29.067636
2025-08-17 2.020344 2.614850 3.483258 4.950448 7.652680 13.309797 30.887400
2025-08-24 1.938429 2.521910 3.382144 4.854454 7.619950 13.599189 33.480736
2025-08-31 1.887743 2.472646 3.345484 4.865102 7.795612 14.418056 38.704827
2025-09-07 1.854590 2.447717 3.344994 4.937884 8.105032 15.651008 47.033889
2025-09-14 1.771875 2.344250 3.213951 4.767689 7.888225 15.456631 48.370709
2025-09-21 1.705918 2.264021 3.116826 4.652838 7.778247 15.537608 51.390786
2025-09-28 1.648150 2.194263 3.033534 4.557793 7.701195 15.698059 55.166917
2025-10-05 1.610204 2.153643 2.995837 4.544284 7.802095 16.403149 63.589018
2025-10-12 1.591122 2.141415 3.003991 4.616795 8.105737 17.818704 80.644146
2025-10-19 1.579816 2.140729 3.031023 4.727057 8.513513 19.731897 109.982873